Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.651008 3.883202 4.132879 4.423194 4.753937 5.122053 5.567158
2025-06-01 3.269751 3.573678 3.918298 4.344020 4.864780 5.493988 6.333717
2025-06-08 3.004902 3.353569 3.765748 4.301009 4.997721 5.906672 7.248066
2025-06-15 2.822438 3.206389 3.676981 4.316307 5.199082 6.444002 8.498001
2025-06-22 2.620526 3.013837 3.508301 4.202464 5.204887 6.709893 9.448472
2025-06-29 2.432656 2.822338 3.321273 4.038854 5.111059 6.803238 10.152776
2025-07-06 2.300324 2.691630 3.201723 3.953370 5.116740 7.054216 11.282634
2025-07-13 2.260889 2.678273 3.236850 4.090476 5.486193 8.026191 14.664777
2025-07-20 2.200663 2.631750 3.220597 4.147118 5.732952 8.856646 18.698512
2025-07-27 2.184374 2.642981 3.285638 4.335414 6.245882 10.466253 29.048121
2025-08-03 2.147558 2.622294 3.301153 4.444411 6.636717 12.025815 48.393018
2025-08-10 2.071478 2.541026 3.219378 4.379901 6.668203 12.646521 69.137366
2025-08-17 1.966003 2.419251 3.078701 4.219341 6.513456 12.784106 95.422238
2025-08-24 1.889364 2.336169 2.993339 4.149601 6.549419 13.621785 251.285187
2025-08-31 1.825944 2.269369 2.929206 4.111917 6.654419 14.852197 NaN
2025-09-07 1.778810 2.224118 2.895918 4.127192 6.891760 16.954220 NaN
2025-09-14 1.711431 2.145428 2.804076 4.023121 6.814440 17.589816 NaN
2025-09-21 1.639740 2.057441 2.692692 3.872537 6.593209 17.327963 NaN
2025-09-28 1.586910 1.995915 2.621379 3.793730 6.548222 18.088831 NaN
2025-10-05 1.576448 1.997910 2.653919 3.920767 7.091063 23.762909 NaN
2025-10-12 1.552943 1.978624 2.649510 3.973225 7.446885 29.863900 NaN
2025-10-19 1.550520 1.991659 2.700382 4.146915 8.253687 49.561684 NaN
2025-10-26 1.535900 1.984654 2.715918 4.247231 8.877945 88.811333 NaN